Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Draft lottery odds

Since there are two expansion teams, the draft lottery will determine the third, fourth, and fifth overall picks- in a typical season, these will be the first, second, and third picks. "Worst record" is relative- if the worst record gets the third overall pick, for the fourth pick, the "worst record" is the next worst overall record...get it? That's why you're not commissioner.

3rd pick:
Worst record 22.22%
2nd worst record 19.44%
3rd worst record 16.67%
4th worst record 13.89%
5th worst record 11.11%
6th worst record 8.33%
7th worst record 5.56%
8th worst record 2.78%
4th pick:
Worst record 25.00%
2nd worst record 21.43%
3rd worst record 17.86%
4th worst record 14.29%
5th worst record 10.71%
6th worst record 7.14%
7th worst record 3.57%
5th pick:
Worst record 28.57%
2nd worst record 23.81%
3rd worst record 19.05%
4th worst record 14.29%
5th worst record 9.52%
6th worst record 4.76%

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